LEAF: A Living Benchmark for Event-Augmented Forecasting

arXiv:2605.16358 · cs.LG, cs.AI · Submitted 2026-05-09 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, cs.AI

Submitted: 2026-05-09

Updated: 2026-10-01

Comments: 12 tables, 6 figures, 39 pages

Code: https://github.com/ranaroussi/yfinance

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Benchmark — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Large Language Models (LLMs) — 1× in this paper · explained in 8 episodes
• Time Series Forecasting — 1× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes

Sources

• Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series
• MTBench: A Multimodal Time Series Benchmark for Temporal Reasoning and Question Answering
• NPHardEval: Dynamic Benchmark on Reasoning Ability of Large Language Models via Complexity Classes
• AI-Trader: Benchmarking Autonomous Agents in Real-Time Financial Markets
• Gemma 3 Technical Report
• FrontierMath: A Benchmark for Evaluating Advanced Mathematical Reasoning in AI
• LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Code
• Time Travel is Cheating: Going Live with DeepFund for Real-Time Fund Investment Benchmarking
• Time Series Forecasting via Reasoning: A Slow-Thinking Approach with Reinforcement Fine-Tuned LLMs
• Inferring Events from Time Series using Language Models
• From News to Forecast: Integrating Event Analysis in LLM-Based Time Series Forecasting with Reflection
• TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework
• Fidel-TS: A High-Fidelity Multimodal Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting
• Dynamic Multimodal Evaluation with Flexible Complexity by Vision-Language Bootstrapping
• TSRBench: A Comprehensive Multi-task Multi-modal Time Series Reasoning Benchmark for Generalist Models
• LiveCodeBench Pro: How Do Olympiad Medalists Judge LLMs in Competitive Programming?
• DynaMath: A Dynamic Visual Benchmark for Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning Robustness of Vision Language Models

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