TDCOSMO XXVIII. The Hubble constant from the quadruply lensed quasar J1537 - 3010 with precise time delays
astro-ph.CO, astro-ph.GA
Submitted: 2026-08-31
Updated: 2026-08-31
Comments: 14 pages (+ 9 pages in appendix), 16 figures, submitted to Physical Review D
Code: https://github.com/ajshajib/squirrelhttps:
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: We present the first measurement of the Hubble constant (H 0) from the quadruply-lensed quasar J1537 - 3010, which has optically-measured time delays at about2 % precision.
Terminology
Abstract
We present the first measurement of the Hubble constant (H 0) from the quadruply-lensed quasar J1537 - 3010, which has optically-measured time delays at about2 % precision. We combine these delays with multi-band imaging data from the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) and model the system with two independent software and teams. We adopt a mass profile that is maximally degenerate with H 0 to fully incorporate the mass-sheet degeneracy in the error budget, with nuisance parameters constrained by spatially resolved stellar kinematics from the Multi Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) and a line-of-sight (LoS) analysis using the Euclid Flagship simulation. The entire analysis is performed blindly to H 0, distances and mass density slope of the main deflector. After unblinding, we measure H 0 = 75.5+9.3-5.8 km,s-1,Mpc-1, corresponding to a 10% precision measurement from a single system. This precision is driven by conservative lens modeling assumptions including differences between lens modeling methods and the limited stellar kinematics constraints, from which we infer a total mass-sheet parameter λ (1-κ ext)λ int = 0.89+0.11-0.06 (λ int=0.89+0.09-0.07) that is consistent with current results for elliptical galaxies (λ about 1). Our lensing constraints, stellar kinematic measurements and LoS characterization will be included in subsequent population-level measurements of H 0. Moreover, our lens models combined with future near-infrared spectroscopy and imaging from the James Webb Space Telescope will further reduce the uncertainties on H 0 from J1537 - 3010 alone, bringing it closer to the few percents precision of the time delays.
Sources
- TDCOSMO IV: Hierarchical time-delay cosmography -- joint inference of the Hubble constant and galaxy density profiles
- TDCOSMO XXVI: Uniform lens modeling of eight doubly imaged quasars
- TDCOSMO XIX. Measuring stellar velocity dispersion with sub-percent accuracy for cosmography
- Spatially Resolved Kinematics of SLACS Lens Galaxies. I: Data and Kinematic Classification
- GetDist: a Python package for analysing Monte Carlo samples
- Disentangling the dark and stellar mass through precise lens modelling of the JWST observation of lensed quasar WFI2033--4723
- TDCOSMO XXV: Measuring H0 to 6.5% precision with quasar strong lensing and maximally flexible mass-sheet dynamics
Related papers
- Angular clustering and bias of photometric quasars in the Kilo-Degree Survey Data Release 4
- A Novel kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Estimator for Electron-Electron Correlations
- Magnetic fields at the dawn of structure formation I. The CARLA J1510+5958 proto-cluster
- Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: Weak Lensing and Galaxy Clustering Cosmological Analysis Framework
- Exploring the Impact of Systematic Bias in Type Ia Supernova Cosmology Across Diverse Dark Energy Parametrizations
- Non-Gaussian Galaxy Stochasticity and the Noise-Field Formulation