JEV versus LLMs: Accuracy, Cost and Calibration on Seven Political Science Replications

arXiv:2610.06625 · cs.CL, cs.CY · Submitted 2026-10-05 · Read on arXiv

cs.CL, cs.CY

Submitted: 2026-10-05

Updated: 2026-10-06

Comments: 71 pages, 2 figures, 14 tables (including appendices). v2: corrected author order in metadata

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Accuracy — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes

Sources

• Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know
• Measuring Scalar Constructs in Social Science with LLMs
• GPT-4 Technical Report

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