Impact of Security Modeling Fidelity on Hyperscale Data Center Hosting Capacity Assessment

This paper assesses hyperscale data center hosting capacity in transmission grids. Hosting capacity (HC) analysis quantifies the maximum additional load a bus can accommodate without violating operational constraints. This paper defines data center HC as the maximum time-invariant active power demand at a single target bus over a 24-hour peak-day horizon, and evaluates it under four models of increasing fidelity (i.e., the extent to which the model enforces real-world operational security requirements) on the modified IEEE 24-bus system: (i) DC optimal power flow (DC-OPF) without unit commitment (UC), (ii) basic SCUC (security-constrained unit commitment) without reliability constraints, (iii) SCUC with spinning reserve, and (iv) N-SCUC with both reserve and branch-contingency security. Comparing these models quantifies the impact of unit commitment, reserve requirements, and N-1 security on bus-level HC estimates. The N-SCUC yields an average HC of 444 MW; omitting N-1 security raises this to 532 MW, a 19.8% overestimation. The DC-OPF and basic SCUC models further overestimate HC, indicating a trade-off between model complexity and estimation accuracy.