TimeRSI: Towards Self-Improved Agentic Deployment for Time-Series Foundation Models
cs.LG
Submitted: 2026-10-14
Updated: 2026-10-15
Code: https://github.com/haoxin1998/TimeRSI
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real- world applications still requires task-specific designs for model inputs and outputs.
Terminology
Abstract
Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real- world applications still requires task-specific designs for model inputs and outputs. Direct inference can leave domain knowledge and re- curring forecast errors unaddressed, while tai- lored pipelines require substantial human ex- pertise and effort. We introduce TIMERSI, a self-improving agentic deployment system around frozen forecasting models. A cod- ing agent translates task descriptions into ex- ecutable pipeline changes. It tests each re- vision on historical forecasting windows and uses observed errors to guide subsequent re- visions. During deployment, an adaptive se- lector chooses among the resulting pipelines using completed forecasts under similar con- ditions. Across 198 tasks on TIME and FEV- bench, TIMERSI outperforms all submissions on six point and probabilistic forecasting met- rics. Controlled comparisons support the value of feedback-guided revision over non-iterative pipeline search. Further experiments verify the generalization with different coding agents and forecasting models.
Sources
- Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting
- Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series
- QiYao-M: Multimodal Time Series Foundation Model with Role-Aware Modeling of Endogenous and Exogenous Modalities
- TabFM-Auto: Self-Evolving Pipelines for Tabular Foundation Models
- AIDE: AI-Driven Exploration in the Space of Code
- Toto 2.0: Time Series Forecasting Enters the Scaling Era
- Meta-Harness: End-to-End Optimization of Model Harnesses
- Adaptive Auto-Harness: Sustained Self-Improvement for Agentic System Deployment on Open-Ended Task Streams
- TiRex-2: Generalizing TiRex to Multivariate Data and Streaming
- It's TIME: Towards the Next Generation of Time Series Forecasting Benchmarks
- fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting
- Recursive self-improvement of AI research agents
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